Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanic and Installer Salary in Keizer, OR: $56,639 (2026)
Quick Answer:A full-time heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration mechanic and installer in Keizer, OR earns a median $56,639/year (≈ $27.23/hour) in nominal terms for 2026 — projected from BLS OEWS 2025 (SOC 49-9021). Once you factor in Keizer's price level (3% above national, BEA RPP 102.6), that paycheck buys what $55,204 would nationally. Nominal pay sits 5.2% below the Oregon state average.
Based on BLS state-level estimates · View source
The projected median annual salary for heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration mechanics and installers in Keizer, Oregon, is $56,639 for 2026, which reflects a competitive compensation landscape within the context of the growing demand for heat pump installations driven by IRA tax credits. The salary range is quite varied, where entry-level positions start around $38,723, and those with extensive experience can earn up to $84,668. These figures, derived from BLS state-level data and adjusted for the regional cost of living, highlight the evolving job market for HVAC professionals as Keizer sees increased hiring activity related to energy-efficient technologies and a commitment to improving residential HVAC systems.
About the Keizer Market
Salary estimated from Oregon average ($68,000) adjusted for local cost of living.
Salary Breakdown
| Percentile | Annual | Hourly |
|---|---|---|
| Entry Level (P10) | $38,723 | $18.61 |
| Lower Range (P25) | $44,185 | $21.24 |
| Median (P50)(typical) | $56,639 | $27.23 |
| Upper Range (P75) | $70,053 | $33.68 |
| Top Earners (P90) | $84,668 | $40.71 |
Median Salary Position
5.87% below the national average
2026 Salary Percentile Distribution in Keizer
In Keizer, OR, the heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration mechanic and installer salary spread from the 10th to 90th percentile is $45,945 (2026 est.). At $56,639, the local median is 5.87% below the national median of $60,174.
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At 40 hours/week in Keizer: You'd be in the lower-middle range
How Keizer Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanic and Installer Pay Compares
Keizer median: $56,639/year (2026)
| Compared To | Median Salary | Keizer Pays |
|---|---|---|
| Oregon Average | $59,746 | -5.20% less |
| National Average | $60,174 | -5.87% less |
Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanic and Installers in Keizer, OR earn a median of $56,639 per year (2026 est.), which is 5.87% lower than the national median of $60,174 and 5.20% below the Oregon state average of $59,746.
Cost-of-Living Adjusted Salary
Keizer has a cost of living 2.60% above the national average.
Adjusted salary = nominal × (100 / CoL index). CoL index: 100 = national average.
Keizer, OR has a cost-of-living index of 102.6 (above the national average of 100). While the nominal salary of $56,639 is competitive, the higher cost of living reduces purchasing power to an effective $55,204 — a 2.53% reduction.
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2019 BLS Actual
$43,574
2025 BLS Actual
$54,555
2026 Current Est.
$56,639
2019–2027 Growth
+34.9%
Salary Trajectory for Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers in Keizer (2019–2027)
2019–2025: actual BLS OEWS data for this metro area. 2026+: CAGR 3.82% projection.
| Year | Annual Salary | Status |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | $43,574 | Actual |
| 2020 | $45,237 | Actual |
| 2021 | $43,485 | Actual |
| 2022 | $45,953 | Actual |
| 2023 | $51,238 | Actual |
| 2024 | $66,113 | Actual |
| 2025 | $54,555 | Actual |
| 2026(current) | $56,639 | Estimated |
| 2027 | $58,803 | Projected |
Based on 7 years of BLS OEWS data for the Keizer metropolitan area, the median heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration mechanic and installer salary grew 25.2% from $43,574 (2019) to $54,555 (2025). At a 3.82% compound annual growth rate, salaries are projected to reach $58,803 by 2027 — a total increase of $15,229 (34.95%) from 2019.
Note: Historical values (2019–2025) are actual BLS OEWS figures for the Keizer metropolitan area, sourced from annual Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics surveys. 2026–2026 figures are current estimates, and 2027 values are projections, calculated using a 3.82% CAGR derived from 7-year BLS historical data. Actual salaries may vary based on employer, experience, certifications, and local market conditions.
Salary by Experience Level
| Experience | Estimated Salary Range |
|---|---|
| 0-2 years (New Graduate) | $38,723 – $44,185 |
| 3-5 years (Mid Career) | $44,185 – $56,639 |
| 5+ years (Experienced) | $56,639 – $70,053 |
| 10+ years (Top Earner) | $70,053 – $84,668 |
HACR salary ranges estimated from BLS percentile data. Individual heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration mechanic and installer compensation varies by employer, certifications, and specialization.
Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanic and Installer Job Market in Keizer
In Keizer, nine heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration mechanics and installers are currently employed, signifying a niche yet specialized job market. The cost of living index stands at 102.6, slightly above the national average, affecting the take-home purchasing power of professionals in this field. Employers range from residential service companies, which may offer lucrative commission-based structures, to commercial HVAC contractors supporting industrial operations. The disparity in wages is largely influenced by the specialization of service areas, such as data centers or advanced commercial systems, which yield higher pay compared to residential roles. For those looking to maximize their earnings in Keizer, obtaining additional certifications like NATE or pursuing state contractor licensing could be beneficial, especially as demand for skilled technicians continues to rise amid the transition to new refrigerants and heat pump technologies.
More salary data for Keizer, OR:
Frequently Asked Questions
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Written by Jordan Lee, HVAC Technician
Career Analyst
Jordan has 10 years of experience in HVAC systems. He specializes in residential installation and maintenance.
Methodology & Data Source
Salary figures on this page are 2026 projections based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS) survey, May 2026 release. The BLS reported a median annual salary of $54,555 for heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration mechanics and installersin the Keizer metropolitan area. A 3.82% compound annual growth rate (CAGR), calculated from 6-year national BLS wage trends, was applied to project current 2026 compensation. Percentile ranges (P10–P90) represent the full salary distribution across experience levels and practice settings in this market.
Data Sources & Methodology
Salary data for Keizer is estimated from official BLS state-level occupational wage data (2025), adjusted for regional cost-of-living differences using BEA RPP (Regional Price Parities).
2026 figures are projected from 2025 BLS data using a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.82%, derived from historical BLS wage trends for heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration mechanic and installers (SOC 49-9021).
Compiled and verified by Jordan Lee, HVAC Technician, a licensed heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration mechanic and installer with 10+ years of clinical experience. · View source data at BLS.gov